ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.7%-2.6% to 1.0%3.0%-1.3%
Year over Year-0.4%-4.0%-4.1%

Highlights

Germany's industrial production saw a promising rebound in March 2025, rising by 3.0 percent from February, offsetting the prior month's 1.3 percent decline. This marks the strongest quarterly improvement (1.4 percent) since early 2022, driven largely by robust activity in key sectors. The automotive industry surged 8.1 percent, pharmaceuticals soared 19.6 percent, and machinery manufacturing increased by 4.4 percent, reflecting strong domestic and possibly export demand. Capital and consumer goods each recorded solid growth of 4.9 percent, suggesting a broad-based recovery.

Despite this monthly upswing, year-over-year figures remain slightly negative, with overall industrial output down 0.4 percent from March 2024. However, the narrower measureindustry excluding energy and constructionshowed modest annual growth (0.3 percent). Energy production dipped 1.8 percent, possibly reflecting reduced demand or efficiency gains, while construction rose 2.1 percent.

Encouragingly, energy-intensive sectors posted a monthly gain of 1.5 percent, although they still lag year-over-year (minus 2.3 percent), hinting at ongoing structural shifts or high energy costs. In essence, the data suggest that Germany's industrial sector is regaining momentum, supported by key manufacturing branches, though challenges persist in energy-heavy production. The latest update takes the German RPI to 35 and RPI-P to 38, meaning that economic activities are well ahead of market expectations in Germany.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Output is expected to rebound by 0.7 percent on the month after falling 1.3 percent in February.

Definition

Industrial production measures the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Data are collected from companies in the sector with fifty or more employees and include mining and quarrying, manufacturing, energy and, in contrast to its Eurozone counterpart, construction.

Description

Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.

Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.

This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
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