ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPrevious
Quarter over Quarter0.5%-1.0% to 1.2%-0.1%-0.2%
Year over Year-0.5%0.6%

Highlights

Australia's survey of private capital expenditures shows spending in this category fell 0.1 percent on the quarter in the three months to March, little changed from the 0.2 percent decline recorded in the three months to December. Private capex also recorded weak year-over-year growth, falling 0.5 percent on the year in the three months to March after advancing 0.6 percent previously.

Further weakness in headline capex reflects a bigger fall in spending on equipment plant and machinery, down 1.8 percent on the quarter after a previous decline of 0.8 percent, with spending on buildings and structures rising 0.6 percent after a previous increase of 0.2 percent. Growth was mixed on a sectoral basis, with capex falling by 0.9 percent on the quarter in the non-mining sector but increasing by 1.9 percent in the mining sector.

Today's release also includes the survey's revised forecast for private capex in the 2024-25 fiscal year (in value terms). Officials now expect it to be A$187.6 billion, up 2.2 percent from the previous estimate made three months earlier of A$183.4 billion. They have also revised up their estimate for spending in the 2025-26 year by 5.6 percent.

The capex survey covers around 60 percent of total business investment in Australia. More comprehensive information on investment will be published in the GDP report for this quarter, scheduled for release next week.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Capex is expected up 0.5 percent on the quarter in Q1 after declining 0.2 percent in Q4.

Definition

Private New Capital Expenditure & Expected Expenditure data are estimates of actual and expected new capital expenditure by private businesses for selected industries in Australia. New capital expenditure refers to the acquisition of new tangible assets either on own account or under a finance lease and includes major improvements, alterations and additions. In general, this is expenditures charged to fixed tangible assets accounts excluding expenditure on second hand assets unless these are imported for the first time.

Note: The Australian Fiscal Year begins on July 1 and ends on June 30.

Description

Capital expenditures are a key to sustained growth and this survey provides information about capital spending and the types of assets that are drawing the most attention from industry. The survey, which is conducted quarterly by mail, is based on a random sample of approximately 8,000 units. The sample is stratified by industry, state/territory and derived employment size. The figures obtained from the selected units are supplemented by data from units which have large capital expenditure and are outside the sample framework or not adequately covered by it. Among the assets covered are buildings and structures including both business and residential, equipment for these structures as well as infrastructure spending. Equipment includes fixed equipment such as machinery, autos, office equipment, etc.
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