Recent History | |||||||
On Feed | Placements | Marketings | On Feed | ||||
Month | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | 90+ Days |
Nov-24 | 11.966 | 100.1% | 1.796 | 96.3% | 1.725 | 98.5% | 5.733 |
Dec-24 | 11.982 | 99.7% | 1.642 | 96.7% | 1.742 | 101.0% | 5.930 |
Jan-25 | 11.823 | 99.1% | 1.822 | 101.7% | 1.869 | 101.4% | 6.288 |
Feb-25 | 11.716 | 99.3% | 1.554 | 82.2% | 1.633 | 91.1% | 6.630 |
Mar-25 | 11.577 | 97.8% | 1.843 | 105.2% | 1.727 | 101.2% | 6.738 |
Apr-25 | 11.638 | 98.4% | 1.613 | 97.4% | 1.825 | 97.5% | 6.594 |
May-25 | 11.376 | 98.5% | - | - | - | - | 6.531 |
Cattle on Feed Estimates | |||||
Estimates | |||||
As Of | Average | Low | High | Last Year | |
On Feed | May | 98.6% | 98.3% | 99.5% | 99.1% |
Placements | Apr | 97.5% | 95.4% | 103.8% | 94.2% |
Marketings | Apr | 96.7% | 96.0% | 97.4% | 110.1% |
Highlights
US Beef in Cold Storage at the end of April fell 2% from the prior month to 418.15 million lbs, compared to 425.17 in March and 426.37 in April a year ago.
With only the marketing number deviating from pre-report estimates, the report is considered neutral and is unlikely to have a dramatic effect on Tuesday morning's opening. Traders will quickly turn their attention back to cash cattle trade next week. Both live cattle and feeder futures rallied this week to key retracement levels following the major reversal down last week. Cash cattle prices have not weakened significantly, mitigating the downside follow through from last week's bearish technical signal. Next week's cash prices will likely dictate whether the current rally can sustain or if last week's technical weakness signaled a top.