| Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Year over Year | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| HICP - M/M | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| HICP - Y/Y | 2.1% | 2.1% |
Highlights
Both the monthly and the annual final HICP rates remained unrevised in March, showing a 1.6 percent increase on the month and a yearly rate of 2.1 percent, up from February's final yearly rate of 1.7 percent and 0.1 percentage points above the ECB's target.
March's uptick in annual CPI rate was partly due to an acceleration in the growth of non-regulated energy prices (from minus 1.9 percent to 0.7 percent), tobacco (from 4.1 percent to 4.6 percent), unprocessed food (from 2.9 percent to 3.3 percent) and more. However, these were partly offset by falls in regulated energy products (from 31.4 percent to 27.2 percent) and services related to transport (from 1.9 percent to 1.6 percent).
Core inflation remained stable at 1.7 percent.
Definition
Description
Italy like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies. The core CPI, which excludes fresh food, is usually the preferred indicator of short-term inflation pressures.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.