ActualPreviousRevisedConsensusConsensus Range
Business Confidence91.593.393.2
Manufacturing Confidence85.786.0
Consumer Confidence92.795.094.194.0 to 94.2

Highlights

Overall business confidence declined in April. At 91.5, the Istat gauge is down from 93.2 in March, with manufacturing confidence falling slightly from 86.0 to 85.7.

Meanwhile, retail trade confidence and service climate declined from 103.9 to 101.8 and from 94.5 to 91.4 respectively. The service climate fell due to worsening pessimism about the current business trend and order book volume. Construction confidence declined from104.6 to 103.6 with expectations for future employment declining as well.

Consumer confidence fell from 95.0 in March to 92.7, due to declines in all components, including economic climate, current and expected economic situation as well as private climate.

In summary, the report potentially points to decline across business, manufacturing and consumer activity this month.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Confidence expected down to 94.1 from 95.0 last month.

Definition

The Italian statistics office (Istat) conducts business and consumer confidence surveys over the first fifteen and ten working days of each reference month respectively. These provide information about current and expected developments in key sector variables. The largely qualitative results are synthesized for each survey into a single number that provides an overall measure of sentiment. Business confidence reflects the combined results of separate surveys covering manufacturing, retail, construction and services.

Description

If investors want to know how the business or consumer sectors are performing as they evaluate their investment decisions, they can find timely and in depth information in the latest Istat surveys. Although short-term swings can be erratic, changes in trends in confidence can contain very useful information about a sector’s underlying health well in advance of the release of the official data. Moreover, by including some forward-looking components (e.g. manufacturing orders or consumer buying intentions) the Istat surveys can also provide a potential insight into prospective developments.
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