| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -0.4% | -0.7% to 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Year over Year | -0.9% | -1.3% to 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | -0.5% |
Highlights
On a year-over-year basis, Euro area industrial output grew only slightly by 1.2 percent, driven almost entirely by a remarkable 9.7 percent surge in non-durable consumer goods. All other major categories contracted: intermediate goods (minus 2.7 percent), capital goods (minus 1.8 percent), and durable consumer goods (minus 2.3 percent), signalling persistent structural weaknesses.
Regionally, industrial production fell across the top four-euro economies, with the largest falls experienced in Germany (minus 3.7 percent after minus 2.3 percent), Italy (minus 2.7 percent after minus 0.8 percent), and Spain (minus 1.7 percent after minus 1.4 percent). France (minus 0.3 percent after minus 1.0 percent) experienced the mildest annual fall.
While February's monthly gains suggest modest recovery and consumer resilience, the annual trends reflect deeper sectoral imbalances and uneven demand, raising questions about the sustainability of industrial momentum across the euro area. The latest update takes the Euro area RPI to minus 1 and the RPI-P to 11, meaning that economic activities are within the area's consensus.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.