| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Employment - M/M | 33,000 | 20,000 to 65,000 | 32,200 | -52,800 | |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 4.1% to 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Participation Rate | 66.8% | 66.8% | 66.7% |
Highlights
The number of people employed in Australia rose by 32,200 in March, rebounding sharply from a fall of 52,800 in February and just below the consensus forecast for an increase of 33,000. Full-time employment rose by 15,000 persons after a previous fall of 35,700 persons, while part-time employment rose by 17,200 persons after a previous decline of 17,000 persons. Hours worked fell 0.3 percent on the month after an increase of 0.2 percent previously.
Today's data also show the unemployment rate rose from 4.0 percent in February to 4.1 percent in March. The unemployment rate has been little changed from this level for a year. The participation rate rose from 66.7 percent to 66.8 percent, close to its recent high.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.
The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.