| Recent History | |||||||
| On Feed | Placements | Marketings | On Feed | ||||
| Month | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | 90+ Days |
| Oct-24 | 11.600 | 100.0% | 2.266 | 104.4% | 1.845 | 104.7% | 5.932 |
| Nov-24 | 11.966 | 100.1% | 1.796 | 96.3% | 1.725 | 98.5% | 5.733 |
| Dec-24 | 11.982 | 99.7% | 1.642 | 96.7% | 1.742 | 101.0% | 5.930 |
| Jan-25 | 11.823 | 99.1% | 1.822 | 101.7% | 1.869 | 101.4% | 6.288 |
| Feb-25 | 11.716 | 99.3% | 1.554 | 82.2% | 1.633 | 91.1% | 6.630 |
| Mar-25 | 11.577 | 97.8% | 1.841 | 105.1% | 1.725 | 101.1% | 6.738 |
| Apr-25 | 11.638 | 98.4% | - | - | - | - | 6.596 |
| Cattle on Feed Estimates | |||||
| Estimates | |||||
| As Of | Average | Low | High | Last Year | |
| On Feed | Apr | 98.2% | 97.5% | 99.2% | 101.5% |
| Placements | Mar | 103.4% | 99.0% | 106.7% | 88.0% |
| Marketings | Mar | 100.6% | 99.0% | 101.5% | 86.3% |
Highlights
Placements for March were 105.1% versus trade expectations of 103.4% and a range of 99.0% to 106.7%. Net placements were 1.79 million head. Marketings for March were 101.1% of last year as compared with the average estimate of 100.6% and a range of 99.0% to 101.5%. Other disappearance totaled 55,000 head during March, 4% below last year.
The report can be considered mostly neutral with a minor bearish lean due to placements coming in slightly above the average guess. Live cattle and feeders this week were very strong ahead of the report. Although the report may result in some minor long liquidation Monday morning, it is not likely bearish enough to push the cattle significantly lower by itself. Cash trade later this afternoon is likely to be stronger than last week, but this week's futures price rally has resulted in overbought conditions for the short-term. A correction is due, but tight cattle supplies and strong feeder auction results will support pullbacks.