Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 4.120M | 4.000M to 4.350M | 4.02M | 4.260M | 4.27M |
Month over Month | -5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | ||
Year over Year | -2.4% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
Highlights
The decline is due to a drop of 6.4 percent in sales of single-family homes to 3.64 million units in March. Sales appear to have felt the impact of higher rates on mortgages obtained in January and February which had a negative impact. There may also be an element of uncertainty that is keeping some potential homebuyers out of the market. Sales of multi-unit homes are unchanged at 380,000 units.
The average Freddie Mac rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was as high as 7.04 percent in the January 16 week, falling to 6.76 percent in the February 27 week, and then to 6.65 percent by March 27. Existing home sales represent closed contracts signed in the prior month or two.
The median price of an existing home is up 1.7 percent to $403,700 in March from February and is up 2.7 percent from year earlier. The supply of homes available for sale rose to 4.0 months in March from 3.5 in February.
The average number of days a home was on the market in March is 36, down from 42 in February and up from 33 in March 2024. First-time home buyers accounted for 32 percent of all sales in March, up a tick from 31 percent in February and the same as March 2024.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Even though home resales don't always create new output, once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer.
Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, home resales have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the existing home sales data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.