Highlights
Rising volatility in financial markets is likely to echo increasing uncertainty about the economic outlook, not a good mix for risk assets. On Monday, news of a weaker than expected Institute for Supply Management report on US manufacturing business for February and disappointing January US construction spending figures spurred some forecasters to predict outright contraction in GDP in the first quarter. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model sees GDP contracting at a 2.8 percent rate in the first quarter, down from an already gloomy 1.5 percent contraction in the last forecast.