Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.51% | 0.64% | ||
Year over Year | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% to 5.5% |
Highlights
Within the industrial sector, manufacturing output rose 6.9 percent on the year for January and February combined after increasing 6.1 percent in December. Utilities output and mining output rose 1.1 percent and 4.3 percent on the year respectively after previous increases of 5.3 percent and 3.1 percent respectively.
Today's data follow recent policy measures aimed at supporting economic activity and a shift in the official monetary policy stance from"prudent" to"moderately loose". In their statement accompanying today's data, officials characterised the data as showing the economy has"got off to a steady start" in 2025, but cautioned that the external environment is"complex and severe" and that domestic demand remains"weak". Officials pledged to"implement more proactive and effective macro policies" but provided no specific guidance about whether additional changes to policy settings will be considered in the near-term.
Data published today were generally stronger than consensus forecasts. The China's RPI rose from plus 29 to plus 50 while the RPI-P rose from plus 83 to plus 90, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in well above consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The industrial growth rate is used to reflect a certain period of increase or decrease in volume of industrial production indicators. The indicator can be used to estimate the short term trend of the industrial economy, to judge the extent of the economic boom and also to be an important reference and basis for the formulation and adjustment of economic policies.