| Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 103.9 | 101.7 | 102.6 |
Highlights
The leading indicator increased in March after the previous month's decline, rising to 103.9 from February's firmer revised 102.6 and remains above 100.
Production industry indicators all showed signs of growth, notably in manufacturing, other services, and construction. Demand indicators also increased. Within manufacturing, wood, glass, stone and earth manufacturing as well as the electrical industry all weakened, while the paper and printing products, machinery and equipment manufacturing, and the chemical and pharmaceutical industry all improved.
March data show the Swiss economy with a more robust outlook after headwinds in previous months.
Production industry indicators all showed signs of growth, notably in manufacturing, other services, and construction. Demand indicators also increased. Within manufacturing, wood, glass, stone and earth manufacturing as well as the electrical industry all weakened, while the paper and printing products, machinery and equipment manufacturing, and the chemical and pharmaceutical industry all improved.
March data show the Swiss economy with a more robust outlook after headwinds in previous months.
Definition
The KOF Economic Indicator is a composite leading indicator that aims to identify shifts in the Swiss business cycle around three months ahead of the actual event and, until the start of 2014, was based on twenty-five different economic indicators. The old version of the KOF Economic Indicator used the previous year's GDP growth rate published by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) as a yardstick. The revised measure still incorporates SECO data; however, KOF has changed over to month-on-month changes in GDP which are generated via statistical methods. This reference series is not about exact GDP figures but about the direction and strength of the economic trend. The new objective of the Barometer is the same as the old objective: achieving maximum possible accuracy in predicting the Swiss business cycle.
Description
The indicator measures overall economic activity through a qualitative business survey about developments in the recent past, the current situation and expectations for the next three to six months. Getting an accurate handle on where the economy is headed is inevitably a vital element in all investment decisions and the new measure uses some 219 variables in order to do just that. The set of variables will be reviewed every autumn.
Survey questions relate to production, orders and stocks of finished goods. The KOF Swiss Economic Institute publishes this indicator monthly.
Survey questions relate to production, orders and stocks of finished goods. The KOF Swiss Economic Institute publishes this indicator monthly.
