ActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month-0.1%0.7%0.6%
Year over Year2.9%3.0%2.9%

Highlights

The UK housing market's monthly price declined by minus 0.1 percent but rose annually by 2.9 percent. The average home now costs £298,602, just £213 less than the previous month. While not a dramatic shift, this subtle adjustment reflects shifting market forces.

One of the most telling insights is the impact of the upcoming stamp duty changes. The rush to secure mortgages ahead of April appears to have cooled demand slightly, particularly among first-time buyers, whose price growth eased to 2.4 percent. However, home movers drove more substantial inflation (3.7 percent), suggesting that established homeowners remain undeterred.

Regional variations highlight Scotland as the month's standout performer, with house prices rising at their fastest rate over a year (3.8 percent). Northern Ireland continues to lead the UK in annual growth (5.9 percent). Meanwhile, London's cooling market saw a notable slowdown, with growth slipping from 2.6 percent to 1.6 percent.

Despite affordability challenges and rising borrowing costs, housing supply constraints and resilient demand indicate that property values will likely continue their upward trajectory at a more measured pace. The market remains active, mirroring pre-pandemic levels and emphasizing the enduring appeal of property investment. This latest update leaves the RPI at 39 and the RPI-P at 29, meaning economic activities remain well ahead of market expectations in the UK economy.

Definition

The Halifax House Price Index (HPI) is the UK's longest running monthly house price measure with data covering the whole country going back to January 1983. The index is based on the largest monthly sample of mortgage data, typically covering around 15,000 house purchases per month, and covers the whole calendar month. In March 2016 Markit announced that it would be acquiring the Halifax HPI from Lloyds Banking Group. Halifax continues to publish the index on behalf of Markit and both the name and the basic methodology remain unchanged. However, in May 2020, the annual growth measure was changed from the average of the last three months to just the latest month.

Description

Home values affect much in the economy - especially the housing and consumer sectors. Periods of rising home values encourage new construction while periods of soft home prices can damp housing starts. Changes in home values play key roles in consumer spending and in consumer financial health. During the first half of this decade sharply rising home prices boosted how much home equity households held. In turn, this increased consumers' ability to spend, based on wealth effects and from being able to draw upon expanding home equity lines of credit.
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