Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Employment - M/M | 28,000 | 15,000 to 60,000 | -52,800 | 44.000 |
Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | 4.0% to 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
Participation Rate | 66.8% | 67.3% |
Highlights
The number of people employed in Australia fell by 52,800 in February, down from an increase of 44,000 in January and well below the consensus forecast for an increase of 28,000. Full-time employment fell by 35,700 persons after a previous increase of 54,100 persons, while part-time employment fell by 17,100 persons after a decline of 10,100 persons previously. Hours worked fell 0.4 percent on the month, as it did previously.
Today's data also show the unemployment rate was steady at 4.1 percent in February. The participation rate fell from a record high of 67.3 percent to 66.8 percent.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.
The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.