Recent History | |||||||
On Feed | Placements | Marketings | On Feed | ||||
Month | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | Million Head | % YoY | 90+ Days |
Sep-24 | 11.198 | 100.6% | 2.156 | 98.1% | 1.698 | 102.0% | 6.123 |
Oct-24 | 11.600 | 100.0% | 2.266 | 104.4% | 1.845 | 104.7% | 5.932 |
Nov-24 | 11.966 | 100.1% | 1.796 | 96.3% | 1.725 | 98.5% | 5.733 |
Dec-24 | 11.982 | 99.7% | 1.642 | 96.7% | 1.742 | 101.0% | 5.930 |
Jan-25 | 11.823 | 99.1% | 1.822 | 101.7% | 1.869 | 101.4% | 6.288 |
Feb-25 | 11.716 | 99.3% | 1.554 | 82.2% | 1.633 | 91.1% | 6.630 |
Mar-25 | 11.577 | 97.8% | - | - | - | - | 6.738 |
Cattle on Feed Estimates | |||||
Estimates | |||||
As Of | Average | Low | High | Last Year | |
On Feed | Mar | 98.2% | 97.0% | 99.0% | 101.3% |
Placements | Feb | 85.6% | 79.1% | 90.5% | 109.7% |
Marketings | Feb | 92.0% | 91.2% | 93.2% | 103.4% |
Highlights
Placements for February were 82.2% versus trade expectations of 85.6% and a range of 79.1% to 90.5%. In January 2024, placements declined significantly on wintry weather and then rebounded by March 1st, which is part of the reason for the significantly lower placements in this report, although they did come in at the lower end of the range of guesses. Marketings for February were 91.1% of last year as compared with the average estimate of 92.0% and a range of 91.2% to 93.2%. Part of the reason for the low marking number was one extra day in February of last year compared to February of 2025.
Significant lower placements were anticipated but came in even lower than the average guess. Marketings and On Feed were mixed. This report will likely take a backseat early next week to the unfolding technical situation in both live and feeder cattle. After a massive rally in the cattle markets over the last 13 sessions with no retracement, prices hit extreme overbought levels. Today, long liquidation resulted in key downside reversals across the cattle complex and a warning shot to the bulls. Another lower close on Monday could set the stage for the 1st significant correction this month.