Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 53.5 | 50.4 | ||
Manufacturing Index | 49.8 | 51.6 | 51.8 | 51.5 to 52.2 |
Services Index | 54.3 | 49.7 | 51.2 | 50.1 to 53.0 |
Highlights
The US Manufacturing PMI was 49.8 in March, compared to 52.7 in February, and below expectations for 51.8 in the Econoday survey of forecasters.
The US Services PMI Business Activity Index recorded 54.3 in March, up from 51.0 in February, and above expectations of 51.2.
The noticeable upturn in service sector activity offset a renewed fall in manufacturing output. The rise in service sector output was the largest so far this year, with companies reporting improved new business inflows amid some signs of strengthening customer demand and better weather. Manufacturing output meanwhile fell into decline, as factories reported fewer instances of output having been boosted by the front-running of tariffs, and new orders growth came close to stalling in the goods-producing sector.
Overall, business expectations for the year ahead fell to their second lowest since October 2022 as companies grew increasingly cautious about the economic outlook, often citing worries over customer demand and the impact of aspects of the new administration's policies, the report said.
Employment growth was also subdued due to increased uncertainty about the economic outlook and concerns over rising costs. Input price inflation accelerated sharply, especially in manufacturing, to a near two-year high, often attributed to the impact of tariff policies.
However, competition limited the pass-through of higher costs to selling prices, the report added.