ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.3%0.2% to 0.5%0.3%-0.2%
Manufacturing Inventories0.1%0.4%0.3%
Retail Inventories0.0%-0.4%-0.5%
Wholesale Inventories0.8%-0.5%-0.4%

Highlights

Business inventories match expectations with a 0.3 percent increase in January from December. That follows an unrevised 0.2 percent month on month decrease in December. Merchant wholesaler inventories lead the way in January with a 0.8 percent increase while manufacturing inventories rise 0.1 percent and retailer inventories are flat.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Data already released point to a 0.3 percent increase for January.

Definition

Business inventories are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity.

Description

Investors need to monitor the economy closely because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more moderate growth that won't generate inflationary pressures.

Rising inventories can be an indication of business optimism that sales will be growing in the coming months. By looking at the ratio of inventories to sales, investors can see whether production demands will expand or contract in the near future. For example, if inventory growth lags sales growth, then manufacturers will have to boost production lest commodity shortages occur. On the other hand, if unintended inventory accumulation occurs (that is, sales do not meet expectations), then production will probably have to slow while those inventories are worked down. In this manner, the business inventory data provide a valuable forward-looking tool for tracking the economy.
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