Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims - Level | 230K | 223K to 230K | 220K | 221K | 222K |
Initial Claims - Change | -2K | -21K | -20K | ||
4-Week Moving Average | 226.0K | 224.25K | 224.5K |
Highlights
Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment declined by 27,000 to 1.870 million in the week ending March 1 from the previous week's unrevised 1.897 million. The 4-week moving average was 1,872,250, up 6,250 from the previous week's 1,866,000.
The unadjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.4 percent during the week ending March 1, down 0.1 percentage point from the prior week.
Of interest in a period when layoffs of federal workers are in focus, initial claims filed by former federal civilian employees totaled 1,580 in the week ending March 1, a decrease of 54 from the prior week, BLS said. The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending March 1 were in New York (+15,513), Texas (+1,774), Kentucky (+891), Arkansas (+603), and New Hampshire (+573), while the largest decreases were in Massachusetts (-3,885), Rhode Island (-1,984), Michigan (-1,933), Illinois (-1,051), and Iowa (-982).
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
There's a downside to it, though. Unemployment claims, and therefore the number of job seekers, can fall to such a low level that businesses have a tough time finding new workers. They might have to pay overtime wages to current staff, use higher wages to lure people from other jobs, and in general spend more on labor costs because of a shortage of workers. This leads to wage inflation, which is bad news for the stock and bond markets. Federal Reserve officials are always on the look-out for inflationary pressures.
By tracking the number of jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight, or how loose, the job market is. If wage inflation looks threatening, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise, bond and stock prices will fall, and the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who tracked jobless claims and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.
Just remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.