Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.5% | 0.3% to 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Year over Year | 1.3% | 1.2% to 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
Highlights
Household spending and private investment both rose modestly on the quarter, up 0.4 percent and 0.3 percent respectively, while net trade and government spending also made positive contributions to GDP growth. GDP per capita grew 0.1 percent on the quarter after seven consecutive quarters of declines.
Today's data cover the period in which officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia continued to leave policy rates on hold. At their latest meeting, held last month, officials cut policy rates for the first time since 2020 but indicated that further policy easing remains dependent on the inflation outlook. Today's data, however, suggest that previous policy tightening is continuing to weigh on demand and activity.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower.