Highlights
A reasssuring, as-expected inflation reading and surprising news that personal spending dropped by 0.2 percent in January fueled a rally in the bond market, sending market rates lower and lifting stocks. Through much of the week, equity investors reacted to a string of weak data by moving into risk-off mode but this time buyers returned in force. The market was boosted by bargain-hunting in Nvidia and other big technology favorites after they sold off through the week.
News of a much wider than expected trade deficit in January added to the view that first quarter GDP may show a contraction. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model was revised to show a 1.5 percent contraction in the economy for the first quarter, down from growth of 2.3 percent in the last estimate. Talk of slowing growth has come to dominate the market discourse as investors see uncertainty over President Trump's tariffs and other policies chilling investment and hiring while disrupting supply chains and boosting inflation.
Stocks retreated from their best levels at midday after a heated meeting between President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy in the White House, which prompted Trump to tell his Ukrainian counterpart he was gambling with World War III. Among sectors, best were consumer discretionary, consumer staples, utilities, and industrials.