ActualPrevious
Composite - Level51.852.6
Services - Level52.253.8

Highlights

The global composite index for January fell a 12-month low. At 51.8, it is some 0.8 points less than December (52.6), however the index has remained above the 50-growth threshold for two years. This is the fourteenth month in a row that the global composite has topped 50, signalling business expansion.

The global service index fell to a 13-month low. At 52.2, it is 1.6 points less than December (53.8). This can be attributed to slower growth in new orders (52.5). Meanwhile, employment (51.6) went up as the rate of job creation reached its highest since June 2023.

Among the best performing nations were China, Japan and India where new export rose. However, in the US, the Eurozone and the UK new exports declined. Global employment increased for the second month in a row. The US, Japan, India, Brazil and Russia lead ahead with the US having the strongest employment rise in 2 and a half years. Still, job loss was seen in other areas such as China, the Eurozone, the UK and Canada.

Business optimism rose to an 8-month high, improving in manufacturing while holding steady in services. In January, inflation rate of input costs and output charges both strengthened.

Definition

JP Morgan Global Services PMI gives an overview of the global services sector. It is based on monthly surveys of over 5,500 executives from 15 of the world’s strongest economies, including the U.S., Japan, Germany, France and China which together account for nearly 80 percent of global services sector’s gross value added (GWA). It reflects changes in global output, employment, new business, backlogs and prices. The Global Services PMI is seasonally adjusted at the national level to control for varying seasonal patterns in each country and is produced by J.P. Morgan and Markit in association with ISM and the International Federation of Purchasing and supply Management (IFPSM).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. The J.P. Morgan Global Services PMI provides advance insight into the global services sector, which gives investors a better understanding of business conditions and valuable information about the economic backdrop of global markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures. The PMI data are also used by many Central Banks to help make interest rate decisions.

The JP Morgan Global Services PMI data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the services sector accounts for the lion’s share of GDP of many advanced economies, this report has a big influence on the markets. In addition, its sub-indexes provide a picture of global output, employment, new business, backlogs and prices.
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