Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Level | 48.2 | 48.2 to 48.2 | 48.3 | 47.0 |
Highlights
As this was the fourth consecutive print below the 50-growth threshold, it reflected declines in output, new orders and employment. Production fell for the third month in a row. Low demand and weakened consumer confidence led to lower output in January. This was especially prevalent in the consumer goods industry meanwhile; investment and intermediate goods saw moderate growth.
New business decreased for the fourth consecutive month in January. The changes to minimum wage legislation and employer national insurance (NI) contributions announced last year might have contributed to cutbacks in non-essential expenditure at manufacturer and client level.
Business optimism remained at one of its weakest levels over the past two years, only slightly better than December's 24-month low.
January saw an uptick in purchase price inflation as it reached a two year high. The steepest rise was seen in consumer goods. Increased costs led to suppliers' raising prices to reflect the cost increases, material shortages and higher transportation costs. Supply chains remained stressed in January with shipping times lengthening due to the Red Sea crisis, backlogs at ports, container shortages and regulatory issues.
The latest results trim the UK RPI to minus 19 and the RPI-P to minus 19. Overall economic activity is falling behind market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.