USDA Fats and Oilseeds - Estimates for December 2024 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Average | Range | Dec 2023 | Y-o-Y | ||
Soybean Crushed (M bu) | 217.6 | 214.0 - 223.0 | 204.3 | +6.5% | |
Oil Stocks (M lbs) | 1,734 | 168.00 - 1,775 | 1,824 | -4.9% | |
Definition
Description
The soybean crush data measures the amount of soybeans that are processed (crushed) during a given month. Crush is the primary demand component for soybeans. Analysts like to track the monthly crush data as the marketing year progresses and compare it with previous years and with the pace needed to reach the USDA’s forecast. If the crush is running behind pace, trader may expect the USDA to lower their forecast in future Supply/Demand (WASDE) reports.
The soybean oil stocks data measures the amount in storage at the end of the month. If stocks are unusually high, analysts may become concerned about oversupply, and they may also become concerned that demand is not as strong as expected. Likewise, if oil stocks are lower than expected, analysts may be alerted to stronger than expected demand. In recent years there have been times when the soybean crush was running at a record pace and soybean oil stocks were declining. This was because soybean oil exports were strong. Biodiesel is another component for soybean oil demand.