Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Change | -25bp | -25bp to 0bp | -25bp | 0bp |
Level | 6.25% | 6.25% to 6.5% | 6.25% | 6.50% |
Highlights
Data released since the RBI's previous meeting in December have shown headline CPI inflation moderating from 6.21 percent in October to 5.48 percent in November and 5.22 percent in December, back within the RBI's target range of two percent to six percent. This decline was anticipated by officials and mainly reflects the impact of food prices.
In the statement accompanying today's decision, RBI officials highlighted the recent decline in inflation and expressed confidence that favourable weather conditions will further reduce food inflation pressures. Core inflation is expected to rise but remain moderate and officials see the risk to the inflation outlook as"evenly balanced". Officials expect household consumption to remain robust but expressed caution about external risks to the growth outlook and noted that they forecast growth will be weaker than it was last year.
Reflecting this assessment of the inflation and growth outlook, officials concluded that there is now"policy space" to support growth with a rate cut today. Officials reaffirmed, however, that the policy stance remains"neutral" for now, judging that this will provide them with flexibility in upcoming meetings.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The Reserve Bank of India was established on April 1, 1935 in accordance with the provisions of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. The Central Office of the Reserve Bank was initially established in Calcutta but was permanently moved to Mumbai in 1937. The Central Office is where the Governor sits and where policies are formulated. Though originally privately owned, since nationalization in 1949, the Reserve Bank is fully owned by the Government of India. The Reserve Bank's affairs are governed by a central board of directors. The board is appointed by the Government of India in keeping with the Reserve Bank of India Act.
The Reserve Bank of India performs this function under the guidance of the Board for Financial Supervision (BFS). The Board was constituted in November 1994 as a committee of the Central Board of Directors of the Reserve Bank of India. Primary objective of BFS is to undertake consolidated supervision of the financial sector comprising commercial banks, financial institutions and non-banking finance companies. Its function is to advise the Central Board on local matters and to represent territorial and economic interests of local cooperative and indigenous banks; to perform such other functions as delegated by Central Board from time to time. Primary objective of BFS is to undertake consolidated supervision of the financial sector comprising commercial banks, financial institutions and non-banking finance companies. The Board is required to meet normally once every month. It considers inspection reports and other supervisory issues placed before it by the supervisory departments.