ActualPrevious
Business Confidence95.795.3
Manufacturing Confidence86.885.8
Consumer Confidence98.296.3

Highlights

Overall business confidence rose slightly in January. At 95.7, the Istat gauge was up from 95.3 in December. Manufacturing confidence also rose to 86.8, an improvement from December's 85.9.

Meantime, both retail trade confidence and service climate declined from 106.9 to 106.5 and 99.6 to 99.0 respectively. Service climate especially, fell due to strong pessimism about the current business trend and the order book volume. Construction confidence, however, improved from 100.9 to 104.2 with expectations for future employment in particular growing strongly.

Consumer confidence also grew to 98.2 from December's 96.3, mainly due to improvements in all components including economic confidence, current and expected economic situation.

In summary, the report potentially points to growing business, manufacturing and consumer activity this month.

Definition

The Italian statistics office (Istat) conducts business and consumer confidence surveys over the first fifteen and ten working days of each reference month respectively. These provide information about current and expected developments in key sector variables. The largely qualitative results are synthesized for each survey into a single number that provides an overall measure of sentiment. Business confidence reflects the combined results of separate surveys covering manufacturing, retail, construction and services.

Description

If investors want to know how the business or consumer sectors are performing as they evaluate their investment decisions, they can find timely and in depth information in the latest Istat surveys. Although short-term swings can be erratic, changes in trends in confidence can contain very useful information about a sector’s underlying health well in advance of the release of the official data. Moreover, by including some forward-looking components (e.g. manufacturing orders or consumer buying intentions) the Istat surveys can also provide a potential insight into prospective developments.
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