Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Y/Y - 3-Month Moving Average | 3.5% | 3.4% to 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
Private Sector Lending -Y/Y | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Highlights
Adjusted loans to households also showed a marginal uptick, with growth improving to 0.9 percent from 0.8 percent in October. This suggests a cautious but steady demand for consumer credit and mortgages, potentially driven by stabilising economic conditions. However, loans to non-financial corporations exhibited a contrary trend, with growth slowing to 1.0 percent from 1.2 percent, signalling subdued business borrowing.
The latest data point to a delicate balance in monetary dynamics: while household borrowing and liquidity are improving, the deceleration in corporate lending highlights lingering pressures on the business landscape, taking the RPI to 3 and the RPI-P to 4. This means that economic activities, in general, are in line with the market consensus of the UK economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
M3 measures overall money supply. It consists of M1 which is currency in circulation plus overnight deposits and M2 which include deposits with an agreed maturity up to two years plus deposits redeemable at up to three months' notice. Not all M3 measures are alike. For example, ECB M3 is approximately equivalent to the Federal Reserve's M2 measure. Because an increase in M3 leads to price inflation, this figure can also be indicative of the likelihood of future interest rate hikes.