Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Year over Year | 3.9% | 3.9% to 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
Highlights
The Reserve Bank of India again left policy rates on hold at 6.50 percent at their most recent meeting held last month, with officials again expressing confidence in the resilience of economic activity. Officials noted risks to the inflation outlook and kept their policy stance"neutral". This, they judge, will provide them with greater flexibility in upcoming meetings while enabling them to continue monitoring the path of disinflation. They also repeated their earlier pledge to remain focused on achieving"a durable alignment of the headline CPI inflation with the target".
Market Consensus Before Announcement
At its latest meeting on Dec. 4-6, the Reserve Bank of India's six-member Monetary Policy Committee voted 4 to 2 to leave the policy interest rate at 6.50% to guide inflation within its 2% to 6% target range. Consumer inflation had continued accelerating to 6.21% in October after surging to 5.49% in September from 3.65% in August. Two members argued for lowering the rate to 6.25% in the face of weak third-quarter GDP data, compared to just one member urging a 25 basis point rate cut.
Definition
Description
The index is a quantitative index with the production of the items being expressed in physical terms. The Index is compiled by taking into account the quantities of items produced during the current month, compared with the average monthly production in the base year. Selection of items is based on the total production of the items as the primary (main) product as well as secondary (by) product. Data are available monthly within six weeks of reference month.