Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual Rate | 4.160M | 4.100M to 4.220M | 4.24M | 4.150M |
Month over Month | 2.2% | 4.8% | ||
Year over Year | 9.3% | 2.6% |
Highlights
The NAR said that the annual pace of sales for 2024 is 4.06 million units, slightly below 4.09 million units in 2023, and the lowest since 1995.
The Freddie Mac rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged about 6.8 percent in November and December. Rates began to move higher around mid-December when it became clear that the FOMC was on hold for further cuts in short-term rates and financial market conditions would not become easier.
Three of four regions have sales gains in December with the Northeast up 3.9 percent, the South up 3.2 percent, and the West up 2.6 percent. Sales decline 1.0 percent in the Midwest.
Sales of single-family homes are up 1.9 percent in December from November and 10.1 percent higher than a year earlier. Sales of multi-family homes are up 5.1 percent in December from the prior month and 2.5 percent from the year-ago month.
The median price for all homes is unchanged at $404,400 in December from November and up 6.0 percent compared to December 2023. The months' supply of homes on the market is down to 3.3 after 3.8 in November and 3.1 in December 2023.
An existing home is listed for an average of 35 days in December, up from 32 days in November and 29 days in December 2023. The share of first-time buyers increases to 31 percent in December from 30 percent in November and 29 percent in December 2024.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Even though home resales don't always create new output, once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer.
Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, home resales have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the existing home sales data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.