Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
20-City Adjusted - M/M | 0.3% | 0.2% to 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
20-City Unadjusted - M/M | -0.1% | -0.2% | ||
20-City Unadjusted - Y/Y | 4.1% | 4.0% to 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
Highlights
The unadjusted annual rate of increase edged up to 4.3 percent in November from 4.2 percent in October but well down from 4.6 percent in September, 5.2 percent in August and 5.9 percent in July. The consensus expectation looked for 4.1 percent for the year-on-year figure in November.
The 20-city adjusted index rose 0.4 percent on the month in November, seasonally adjusted. The unadjusted month on month figure showed a decline of 0.1 percent.
Meanwhile, the Case-Shiller national index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, saw a 3.8 percent rise for November, up from a 3.6 percent in October. The 10-City composite rose 4.9 percent, the same as October.
New York reported the biggest annual increase among the 20 cities with a 7.3 percent increase in November, followed by Chicago and Washington with annual increases of 6.2 percent and 5.9 percent, respectively. Tampa posted the lowest with a decline of 0.4 percent from a year ago.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From their peak in late 2006 and early 2007 to their nadir in mid-2012, Case-Shiller's home price indexes fell nearly 50 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the indexes finally surpassing their prior highs in early 2018.