Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rate | 2.4% | 2.4% to 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
Highlights
The dip in the jobless rate was due to a 5.0% drop in job losses and retirements as well as a 6.8% slump in the number of those who began looking for work and thus were counted as being unemployed. Those two factors offset the effects of a 5.4% rise in the number of people who quit for other positions.
In unadjusted data, employment surged 570,000 on the year to 68.11 million in December after rising 340,000 in November. The number of unemployed fell 20,000 to a pre-pandemic level of 1.54 million, marking the fifth straight year-on-year drop after falling 50,000 the previous month. It is now the lowest since 1.46 million in December 2019 (it was 1.60 million in January 2020).
The year-on-year job creation was led by the medical and welfare industry,"other services" and education/learning support service provides. Payrolls at hotels and restaurants rebounded after a rare drop the previous month. Manufacturing and construction continued to show declines.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
The government continues to describe employment conditions as"showing signs of improvement" in its latest monthly economic report.
Definition
Description
By tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If wage inflation threatens, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise; bond and stock prices will fall. No doubt that the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who watched the employment report and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.