Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
Year over Year | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
HICP - M/M | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
HICP - Y/Y | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
Highlights
Year-over-year, inflation ticked up slightly to 1.3 percent from 1.2 percent in October, also matching its provisional reading. A less pronounced annual decline in energy prices (minus 0.7 percent compared to minus 2.0 percent) contributed to this uptick, offset by slower growth in food prices (0.2 percent versus 0.6 percent). Manufactured goods and services prices remained steady year-over-year, with services maintaining a 2.3 percent increase, while tobacco prices surged by 8.7 percent.
Core inflation, a measure excluding volatile items, rose marginally to 1.5 percent from 1.4 percent in October, signalling just very limited underlying price pressures. The harmonised index of consumer prices also fell by 0.1 percent month-over-month but accelerated slightly to 1.7 percent year-over-year in line with the consensus.
These figures suggest a stabilising inflationary environment, with moderate upward pressures reflecting energy dynamics and steady core inflation. The latest update takes the RPI to minus 19 and the RPI-P to minus 7. This means that economic activities in general are slightly behind market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.