Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 44.8 | 44.8 to 44.8 | 45.9 | 48.1 |
Services Index | 45.7 | 45.7 to 45.7 | 46.9 | 49.2 |
Highlights
Key drivers of the downturn in both measures included a steep decline in demand, with new business volumes and export orders falling at their fastest rates in a year and four years, respectively. Client hesitancy, budget constraints, and political uncertainty all weighed and reduced business confidence to a four-and-a-half-year low.
However, despite waning workloads, employment rose marginally and rising wage pressures drove input costs higher. Companies attempted to offset these costs by modestly raising service prices, but demand constraints limited their pricing power.
The depletion of backlogs underscores a lack of future work, further signalling spare capacity in the sector. While the Olympic boost earlier this year offered temporary reprieve, the current PMI trajectory points to weak fourth quarter GDP. Today's update puts the French RPI at minus 23 and the RPI-P at minus 10. This means that economic activity in general is still lagging behind market estimates.