Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
CPI - M/M | 0.2% | -0.2% to 0.2% | -0.3% | 0.0% |
CPI - Y/Y | 1.6% | 1.5% to 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
Core CPI - M/M | 0.0% | 0.2% | ||
Core CPI - Y/Y | 1.9% | 1.8% |
Highlights
Underlying price pressures were steady in November. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 1.7 percent on the year, down slightly from the 1.8 percent increase recorded in October, and were unchanged on the month after a previous increase of 0.2 percent. The year-over-year increase in prices was relatively steady for most major categories of spending.
At their most recent meeting last week, officials at the BoK lowered the main policy rate by 25 basis points from 3.25 percent to 3.00 percent. In the statement accompanying that decision, officials retained their forecast for core inflation to average 2.2 percent this year and revised their 2025 forecast down slightly from 2.0 percent to 1.9 percent. Noting uncertainties about the growth outlook, officials indicated that further rate cuts will be considered in upcoming meetings.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.