Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -3.5% | -4.0% to -2.4% | -2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
Year over Year | -4.0% | -4.2% to -1.5% | -2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
Highlights
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said 11 out of the 15 industries showed declines while three marked increases and one was flat.
METI's survey of producers indicated that output would dip 0.3% in December despite an expected rise in production and general machinery before rebounding 1.3% in January on vehicles and semiconductors.
From a year earlier, factory output fell 2.8% (consensus was -4.0%) for the first drop in two months following a 1.4% gain (revised down from +1.6%) in October and a 2.6% fall in September.
The ministry maintained its assessment, saying industrial output is"taking one step forward and one step back." It said it will keep a close watch on how global economic growth evolves.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
From a year earlier, factory output is expected to post its first fall in two months, down 4.0%, following a 1.4% rise (revised down from 1.6%) in October and a 2.6% drop in September.
Last month, the ministry maintained its assessment, saying industrial output is"taking one step forward and one step back." It said it will keep a close watch on how global economic growth evolves.
Definition
Description
Industrial production provides key industry data for this export-dependent economy. The data are issued twice a month-a preliminary estimate at the end of the month for the preceding month and a revised estimate about two weeks later. All products, whether sold domestically or abroad, are included in the calculation of industrial production. Industrial production is highly sensitive to the business cycle and can often predict future changes in employment, earnings and income. For these reasons industrial production is considered a reliable leading indicator that conveys information about the overall health of the economy. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.