Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 47.3 | 47.3 to 47.3 | 47.2 | 48.6 |
Services Index | 49.4 | 49.4 to 49.4 | 49.3 | 51.6 |
Highlights
The setback was led by declines in new business, particularly from manufacturers and the public sector and demand from abroad decreased for a fifth consecutive month.
Employment in services also declined for a fifth straight month, marking the longest stretch of job shedding since 2009. The reduction was modest but sentiment about the year ahead still deteriorated and capacity pressures eased further, evidenced by a substantial clearing of backlogs.
Cost pressures rose as wage increases pushed input price inflation to a 4-month high. This contributed to a notable spike in output price inflation, with service providers passing costs onto customers at the strongest rate since April.
Overall, the data add to downside risk to fourth quarter GDP growth and argue against any near-term recovery. Today's update puts the German RPI at minus 29 and the RPI-P at minus 21, both gauges showing overall economic activity falling quite well short of market expectations.