Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 1.5% | 0.0% to 2.5% | -1.0% | -2.5% | -2.0% |
Year over Year | -4.7% | -4.6% | -4.2% |
Highlights
Excluding energy and construction, industrial production decreased by 0.3 percent from September, highlighting broad-based weaknesses. Consumer goods production dropped by 1.0 percent, and capital goods 0.4 percent, although intermediate goods showed a slight improvement of 0.4 percent. The construction sector remained stable, offering no relief to the overall contraction.
Energy-intensive industries faced sustained pressure, with output down 0.9 percent month-over-month and 4.0 percent lower in the AugustOctober period compared to the previous three months. Year-over-year, production in energy-intensive branches declined by 0.8 percent, underscoring the impact of high energy costs and subdued demand.
The latest update puts the RPI at minus 22 and the RPI-P at minus 13, meaning that economic activity in general continues to lag behind expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.