Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.0% | -0.4% to 0.2% | -0.5% | 0.5% | |
Year over Year | 2.2% | 1.1% to 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
Highlights
On an annual basis, the retail sector showed stronger performance, with total sales up by 1.9 percent. Non-food products (excluding automotive fuel) led the growth, rising by 2.7 percent, while automotive fuel also posted a robust annual increase of 1.9 percent. Food, drink, and tobacco purchases were up 0.6 percent.
Regionally, France (0.0 percent) and Spain (0.0 percent) remained stable over the month, while Germany lost ground (minus 1.4 percent after 1.5 percent). Elsewhere the picture was similarly mixed. Today's surprisingly soft update trims the region's RPI to minus 6 and the RPI-P to exactly zero. Recent economic activity in general has been running in line with market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.