Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.0% | -0.5% to 0.5% | 0.0% | -2.0% | -1.5% |
Year over Year | -1.2% | -2.8% | -2.2% |
Highlights
On an annual basis, industrial production fell by 1.2 percent, driven by declines across most sectors. Intermediate goods (minus 3.5 percent), durable consumer goods (minus 3.2 percent), and capital goods (minus 1.7 percent) recorded the largest contractions. Energy production also fell (minus 1.0 percent), while non-durable consumer goods saw a robust increase of 3.3 percent, suggesting resilience in everyday consumer demand.
Regionally the headline fall was dominated by Spain (3.0 percent), posting a solid gain for the second month running after back-to-back losses in July and August. However, Germany posted the second-largest loss in the bloc, where production was down some 4.9 percent. Italy (minus 3.6 percent) and France (minus 0.8 percent) similarly had poor months.
In summary, persistent declines in key industrial sectors and weak energy production highlight ongoing challenges, with recovery prospects dependent on stabilising consumer demand and addressing structural inefficiencies. The latest update takes the RPI to minus 5 and the RPI-P to minus 10. This means that economic activities, in general, are within the consensus of market expectations of the Eurozone economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.