Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Change | 0bp | 0bp to 0bp | 0bp | 0bp |
Level | 4.35% | 4.35% to 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% |
Highlights
In the statement accompanying today's decision, however, officials again expressed concern about the strength of price pressures, with measures of underlying inflation still above the target range. Although officials expressed cautious optimism that some of the upside risks to inflation appear to have eased, they again noted that they"do not see inflation returning sustainably to the midpoint of the target until 2026".
Despite growing public pressure for policy rates to be cut, officials concluded that inflation"remains too high" and again reiterated today returning inflation to target remains their highest priority. Although the statement provided little guidance about the likely timing of any changes to policy rates, officials did remove a reference to"not ruling anything in or out", suggesting that a further rate hike is no longer being considered. RBA Governor Michele Bullock, speaking after the announcement, also expressed confidence that inflation will fall in line with offical forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The RBA is unique among the central banks - it has two boards with complementary responsibilities. The Reserve Bank Board is responsible for monetary policy and overall financial system stability. The Payments System Board has specific responsibility for the safety and efficiency of the payments system.
The RBA sets an interest rate at which it lends to financial institutions. This interest rate then affects the whole range of interest rates set by commercial banks and other institutions for their own savers and borrowers. It also tends to affect the price of financial assets, such as bonds and shares, and the exchange rate, which affect consumer and business demand in a variety of ways. Lowering or raising interest rates affects spending in the economy.
The level of interest rates affects the economy. Higher interest rates tend to slow economic activity; lower interest rates stimulate economic activity. Either way, interest rates influence the sales environment. In the consumer sector, few homes or cars will be purchased when interest rates rise. Furthermore, interest rate costs are a significant factor for many businesses, particularly for companies with high debt loads or who have to finance high inventory levels. This interest cost has a direct impact on corporate profits. The bottom line is that higher interest rates are bearish for the financial markets, while lower interest rates are bullish.