Consensus | Actual | Previous | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Year over Year | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% to 1.2% |
HICP - M/M | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
HICP - Y/Y | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
Highlights
Year-over-year, CPI increased by 1.2 percent, reflecting stabilised inflation. Furthermore, year-over-year, core inflation remained steady at 1.4 percent. Energy prices fell by 2.0 percent year-over-year, with petroleum product prices dropping less sharply. Conversely, gas prices surged by 10.7 percent, while electricity rose by 9.0 percent. Service price growth slowed to 2.3 percent, with reduced growth in vehicle maintenance, social protection, and catering services, but accelerated in insurance and accommodation services. Manufactured product prices fell slightly by 0.2 percent year-over-year, with notable declines in major household appliances and health products. Food prices increased by 0.6 percent annually, with fresh vegetables driving the rise, despite slower growth in fresh fruits and fish.
The harmonised index of consumer prices also increased by 0.3 percent monthly and 1.6 percent annually, showing a slight acceleration from September. The latest update takes the RPI to 4 and the RPI-P to 5, suggesting that economic activity in general is within the consensus of the UK economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.