Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rate | 2.4% | 2.4% to 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
Highlights
Job losses and retirements rose a seasonally adjusted 5.4% on the month after recent drops, more than offsetting the impact of decreases in the numbers of people who began looking for work (down 4.1%) and of those who quit for other positions (down 5.4%).
Employment rose 420,000 on the year to 68.13 million in October after rising 270,000 in September. The number of unemployed fell 50,000 to 1.70 million for the third consecutive drop after falling 90,000 the previous month. It was the lowest since 1.63 million recorded in January 2024. The year-on-year job creation was led by the information telecommunications and the medical and welfare category. Manufacturing and construction trimmed payrolls.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
In October, public pension and healthcare coverage for part-time workers was expanded to include those who work at smaller firms that have 51 to 100 people on payrolls. This might have encouraged more people to begin looking for work, thus being counted as unemployed in the labor market, but that factor alone is unlikely to have pushed up the unemployment rate.
The government continued to describe employment conditions as"showing signs of improvement."
Definition
Description
By tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If wage inflation threatens, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise; bond and stock prices will fall. No doubt that the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who watched the employment report and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.