ActualPreviousConsensusConsensus Range
Month over Month0.16%0.65%
Year to Date on Y/Y Basis3.4%3.4%3.5%3.5% to 3.5%

Highlights

Chinese fixed asset investment rose 3.4 percent year-to-date in October, unchanged from the increase recorded year-to-date in September, which was the lowest growth rate of the year. Property investment was again weak, falling 10.3 percent year-to-date, but growth was solid in other sectors, with manufacturing investment up 12.2 percent year-to-date. In month-over-month terms, fixed asset investment increased 0.16 percent after advancing 0.65 percent previously.

Today's data follow a series of policy measures announced by Chinese officials in the last two months in response to ongoing weakness in the property sector and sluggish growth in consumer spending and manufacturing output. Officials lowered the seven-day reverse repo rate, cut banks' reserve requirements, and announced government spending planned for next year would be brought forward.

In their statement accompanying today's data, officials characterised the data as showing the economy is exhibiting"steady progress and recovery" but noted"the external environment is increasingly complicated and severe" and"effective demands are still weak at home". Officials, however, provided little guidance about whether additional changes to policy settings will be considered in the near-term.

Data published today showed stronger retail sales, with other indicators close to consensus forecasts. The China's RPI and RPI-P both fell from plus 57 and plus 100 to zero and plus 20 respectively, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in close to consensus forecasts.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Forecasters see fixed asset investment up 3.5 percent in the year to date from a year ago, not much better than the 3.4 percent figure in September, as investors remain reluctant.

Definition

Investment in fixed assets refers to the investment in construction and purchase of fixed assets by private and state-controlled domestic enterprises and households (excluding rural households) involving a total planned investment of CNY5 million yuan or more. Separate data for private investment and state-controlled investment are published as well as more detailed data on an industry basis.

Description

Investment in fixed assets is an important part of gross domestic product and also provides the additional productive capacity to an economy that is required to drive future growth. Strong growth in this category of spending indicates that enterprises are confident about future prospects and is generally associated with rising employment and incomes.

Investment in fixed assets therefore provides information about near-term and future economic growth. Investors need to closely track the economic growth because it usually dictates how investments will perform. Investors in the stock market like to see healthy economic growth because robust business activity translates to higher corporate profits. Bond investors are more highly sensitive to inflation and robust economic activity could potentially pave the road to inflation. By tracking economic data such as GDP, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.
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