Crop Conditions Summary
Winter Wheat: Crop Condition
GoodExcellent 11/17 11/10 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 49 44 +5 48 50 77(2004) 32(2022) 47.0 33.805
Kansas 49 47 +2 32 46 89(1996) 20(1991) 37.0 7.700
Texas 47 33 +14 43 38 83(2004) 16(2001) 30.0 5.700
Oklahoma 37 28 +9 46 47 95(1987) 13(2012) 28.0 4.350
Colorado 65 54 +11 62 49 88(1998) 19(2010) 25.0 2.100
Crop Progress Summary
Cotton: Percent Harvested
Harvested 11/17 11/10 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 77 71 +6 74 69 85(2001) 57(1986) 947.0 11.670
Texas 72 65 +7 65 58 80(2011) 24(1986) 796.0 6.430
Georgia 69 60 +9 64 71 94(1990) 47(2009) 975.0 1.100
Arkansas 99 97 +2 99 97 100(2022) 74(2009) 1196.0 0.670
Mississippi 97 95 +2 98 94 100(2011) 79(2002) 1079.0 0.520
Winter Wheat: Percent Planted
Planted 11/17 11/10 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 94 91 +3 94 - 96(2016) 90(2000) 47.0 33.805
Kansas 99 97 +2 98 - 100(2015) 94(2018) 37.0 7.700
Texas 86 81 +5 86 - 96(1986) 82(2015) 30.0 5.700
Oklahoma 90 79 +11 94 - 98(2016) 75(2000) 28.0 4.350
Colorado 99 99 0 100 - 100(2023) 99(2009) 25.0 2.100
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Nov 17, 2024
EstimatesPrevious
HightowerRangeLast WeekLast Year
Progress - Percent Completed
Winter Wheat Planted9594 - 969195
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent
Winter Wheat Condition4645 - 494448

Highlights

Crop Conditions
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of November 17 was up 5% at 49% and poor / very poor was down 3% at 15%. Current G/EX is down 1% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is unchanged versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 10 reported better, 7 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Kansas 49%(+2%), Washington 53%(-1%), Montana 35%(+8%), Illinois 75%(+1%), Idaho 47%(+5%).

Crop Progress
Cotton
Cotton harvested as of November 17 was up 6% at 77%. This is up 3% versus last year and up 8% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Texas 72%(+7%), Georgia 69%(+9%), Arkansas 99%(+2%), Mississippi 97%(+2%), North Carolina 75%(+15%).

Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat planted as of November 17 was up 3% at 94%. This is unchanged versus last year. The top producing states report Kansas 99%(+2%), Washington 100%(0%), Montana 100%(+1%), Illinois 98%(+2%), Idaho 100%(0%).

Definition

This full text file contains reports, issued weekly during the growing season (April to November), which lists planting, fruiting, and harvesting progress and overall condition of selected crops in major producing states. The data, summarized by crop and by state, are republished along with any revisions in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. During the months of December through March, the report is issued monthly titled State Stories.

Description

These reports offer weekly analysis of the progress and condition of the crops. State-by-state data is provided, which is aggregated into a number that covers the key producing states that make up the majority of the US crop.

Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.

Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.

Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.

Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.
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