Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Winter Wheat: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 11/03 | 10/27 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 41 | 38 | +3 | 50 | 50 | 78(2004) | 29(2022) | 47.0 | 33.805 |
Kansas | 40 | 38 | +2 | 31 | 47 | 91(1996) | 23(1991) | 37.0 | 7.700 |
Texas | 24 | 30 | -6 | 43 | 37 | 81(2004) | 10(2022) | 30.0 | 5.700 |
Oklahoma | 31 | 21 | +10 | 47 | 45 | 96(1987) | 13(2022) | 28.0 | 4.350 |
Colorado | 58 | 51 | +7 | 63 | 49 | 89(1999) | 25(2022) | 25.0 | 2.100 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 11/03 | 10/27 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 91 | 81 | +10 | 78 | 75 | 95(2012) | 28(2009) | 177.3 | 91.475 |
Iowa | 92 | 84 | +8 | 86 | 74 | 100(1988) | 23(2009) | 201.0 | 13.100 |
Illinois | 95 | 87 | +8 | 87 | 85 | 99(1991) | 22(2009) | 206.0 | 10.900 |
Nebraska | 90 | 79 | +11 | 82 | 73 | 98(1991) | 21(2009) | 182.0 | 10.100 |
Minnesota | 95 | 85 | +10 | 83 | 76 | 100(2012) | 15(2009) | 185.0 | 8.100 |
Cotton: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 11/03 | 10/27 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 63 | 52 | +11 | 55 | 53 | 71(2000) | 33(2009) | 947.0 | 11.670 |
Texas | 58 | 48 | +10 | 46 | 44 | 67(1998) | 20(1986) | 796.0 | 6.430 |
Georgia | 52 | 39 | +13 | 42 | 52 | 83(1990) | 25(2009) | 975.0 | 1.100 |
Arkansas | 94 | 85 | +9 | 94 | 87 | 99(2010) | 27(2009) | 1196.0 | 0.670 |
Mississippi | 92 | 83 | +9 | 90 | 83 | 99(2010) | 25(2009) | 1079.0 | 0.520 |
Soybeans: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 11/03 | 10/27 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 94 | 89 | +5 | 89 | 86 | 94(2005) | 58(2009) | 50.6 | 86.100 |
Illinois | 95 | 90 | +5 | 93 | 89 | 99(1995) | 45(2009) | 63.0 | 10.700 |
Iowa | 98 | 96 | +2 | 96 | 92 | 100(2005) | 62(2009) | 58.0 | 9.900 |
Minnesota | 100 | 98 | +2 | 96 | 96 | 100(2015) | 62(2009) | 48.0 | 7.600 |
North Dakota | 98 | 95 | +3 | 95 | 92 | 100(2022) | 44(2009) | 35.5 | 6.800 |
Winter Wheat: Percent Planted | |||||||||
Planted | 11/03 | 10/27 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 87 | 80 | +7 | 88 | 89 | 94(2005) | 81(2009) | 47.0 | 33.805 |
Kansas | 94 | 87 | +7 | 95 | 92 | 99(2001) | 82(2018) | 37.0 | 7.700 |
Texas | 76 | 70 | +6 | 77 | 79 | 98(1996) | 70(1985) | 30.0 | 5.700 |
Oklahoma | 72 | 59 | +13 | 84 | 89 | 98(1996) | 62(2000) | 28.0 | 4.350 |
Colorado | 99 | 99 | 0 | 100 | 99 | 100(2023) | 98(2021) | 25.0 | 2.100 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Nov 03, 2024 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Winter Wheat Planted | 88 | 84 - 91 | 80 | 90 | |
Corn Harvested | 89 | 87 - 92 | 81 | 81 | |
Soybeans Harvested | 94 | 93 - 95 | 89 | 91 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Winter Wheat Condition | 40 | 37 - 44 | 38 | 50 | |
Highlights
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of November 03 was up 3% at 41% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 23%. Current G/EX is down 9% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 7% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 12 reported better, 5 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Kansas 40%(+2%), Washington 50%(+1%), Montana 22%(+5%), Illinois 68%(+17%), Idaho 43%(-3%).
Crop Progress
Cotton
Cotton harvested as of November 03 was up 11% at 63%. This is up 8% versus last year and up 10% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Texas 58%(+10%), Georgia 52%(+13%), Arkansas 94%(+9%), Mississippi 92%(+9%), North Carolina 42%(+15%).
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat planted as of November 03 was up 7% at 87%. This is down 1% versus last year and down 2% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 94%(+7%), Washington 100%(0%), Montana 95%(+7%), Illinois 92%(+7%), Idaho 99%(+5%).
Corn
Corn harvested as of November 03 was up 10% at 91%. This is up 13% versus last year and up 16% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Iowa 92%(+8%), Illinois 95%(+8%), Nebraska 90%(+11%), Minnesota 95%(+10%), Indiana 88%(+11%).
Soybeans
Soybeans harvested as of November 03 was up 5% at 94%. This is up 5% versus last year and up 8% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Illinois 95%(+5%), Iowa 98%(+2%), Minnesota 100%(+2%), Indiana 93%(+6%), Ohio 96%(+6%).
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.