Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.5% | -0.7% to 1.4% | -2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
Year over Year | -4.6% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
Highlights
The automotive industry experienced a dramatic 7.8 percent decline in September, erasing much of the 15.4 percent gain from August. This sector's volatility continues to influence overall industrial performance. Similarly, the chemical industry contracted by 4.3 percent, further weighing on output. However, machinery and equipment production bucked the trend, rising by 1.7 percent. Across all major industrial categories, production faltered. Capital goods fell by 4.0 percent, while intermediate and consumer goods declined by 1.6 percent and 1.4 percent respectively. Even outside manufacturing, energy and construction output shrank by 2.1 percent and 1.4 percent.
Year-over-year, industrial production excluding energy and construction was 5.2 percent lower, highlighting a widespread slowdown. With declines across key sectors, Germany's industrial recovery faces headwinds, underscoring the need for strategic interventions to stabilize output in the months ahead. Even so, this latest update puts the German RPI at 21 and RPI-P at 13, showing overall economic activity still exceeding market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.