Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
Year over Year | 1.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% to 1.5% |
Highlights
Moreover, September's monthly gain was led by the non-food subsector where, excluding auto fuel, purchases were up 1.1 percent, building on an even larger 1.2 percent advance last time. Food, drink and tobacco fell 0.4 percent but auto fuel gained 0.2 percent.
Regionally, France (minus 0.5 percent) lost ground but both Germany (1.2 percent) and Spain (1.0 percent) recorded fresh increases. Elsewhere the picture was similarly mixed.
Nonetheless, the updated sales data paint a very different picture of the Eurozone retail sector than the August report. Then, overall third quarter purchases looked set to fall versus the previous period. As it is, they posted a very respectable 0.9 percent advance. This should come as some relief to the ECB which has clearly become increasingly concerned about the sluggishness of domestic demand. That said, another cut in key interest rates next month remains very likely. Today's update puts the region's RPI at 18 and the RPI-P at 8, showing recent economic activity in general running just slightly ahead of market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.