Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 55.3 | 54.3 | ||
Manufacturing Index | 48.8 | 47.8 | 48.8 | 48.0 to 49.2 |
Services Index | 57.0 | 55.3 | 55.1 | 55.0 to 55.4 |
Highlights
The services PMI grew sharply from 55.0 in October to 57.0 in November, reaching a 31-month high. This was driven mainly by the largest rise in demand for two and a half years and improved business confidence.
Future sentiment after slumping to a 23-month low in September, rebounded for the second month in a row in November with optimism about output in the coming year rising to the highest since May 2022. This is attributed to the prospect of lower interest rates, improved economic growth and the expectation of more supportive business policies from the new administration in 2025.
Details for manufacturing include a 2.9-point decline for output to 46.3. Production fell as new orders fell, albeit at a slower rate of decline than September's 15-month peak. Delivery times also increase, largely linked to a rise in purchasing inputs ahead of potential tariffs on imported inputs. Employment rose only slightly.
Input cost inflation slowed, with average prices charged for goods and services cooling to the lowest since prices began rising in June 2020.
The PMI composite weighted overwhelmingly towards services, rose from 54.1 in October to 55.3 in November which signaled a sustained expansion of business activity. By sector, growth remained uneven, with the service sector growing at a strong steady rate while manufacturing output continued to decline.