Highlights
The FOMC decision to cut 25 basis points to bring the fed funds target range down to 4.50-4.75 percent, a"further recalibration" that is"on a path to a more neutral stance" for monetary policy. The balance of risks for the labor market and inflation are now"roughly balanced". The FOMC remains data dependent. As Powell noted, there are six weeks before the December 17-18 FOMC meeting and monetary policy is not on a preset course. He said the FOMC is well positioned to move more slowly if appropriate to fight inflation, or more quickly if there are signs of deterioration in the labor market. Powell offered no signal on the outlook for rates in December.
When Powell was asked if he would leave if the incoming administration asked him to resign, he gave a blunt"no". When asked if he was legally obliged to resign if asked, it was an equally blunt"no".
Powell said that in the near term, the election results will have no implications for setting monetary policy. In the future,"We don't know what the timing and substance of any changes in policy will be." He declared,"We don't guess, we don't speculate, we don't assume." When the economic policies of the incoming administration are known, the Fed will incorporate these into the larger model of the economy. Even then, changes in policy are only one factor in a large framework by which decisions are made.