Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Change | -50bp | -75bp to -25bp | -50bp | -50bp |
Level | 4.25% | 4.00% to 4.50% | 4.25% | 4.75% |
Highlights
This easing in policy at the last three meetings follows data showing a sharp deceleration in inflation. Headline CPI inflation fell from 4.0 percent in the three months to March to 3.3 percent in the three months to June and 2.2 percent in the three months to September, with core inflation falling from 3.7 percent to 2.8 percent and then 2.7 percent over this period. In the statement accompanying today's decision, officials advise that they now consider inflation to be"sustainably within" their target range. Although they note current weakness in economic activity, they expressed confidence that economic growth will recover next year in response to the recent reductions in policy rates.
Reflecting this assessment, officials concluded that there is now scope to lower policy rates again today. Moreover, they also expect to ease policy further early next year.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
The RBNZ maintains an inflationary target range of 1 percent to 3 percent and will change rates to keep it within such a range, making rate decisions fairly predictable. Rate changes are significant nonetheless, affecting interest rates in consumer loans, mortgages, and bond rates. Increases or even expectations for rate increases tend to cause the New Zealand Dollar to appreciate, while rate decreases cause the currency to depreciate.
Description
Frequency
Eight times a year.