Highlights
A shift in market expectations to favor a Republican sweep of Congress and the White House has been a distinct negative for bonds as investors see this outcome as more likely to mean more spending, more inflation and fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The market has been focusing more on rising sovereign borrowing as a global factor. At the same time, concern has increased about possible loss of disinflation momentum after the latest US consumer price report. The benchmark US Treasury 10-year note yield is now up nearly 60 basis points from its Sept. 24 low, shortly after the last Fed policy meeting.
Among sectors, laggards included truck manufacturers after disappointing results from Paccar; aerospace & defense after earnings misses from Lockheed Martin and GE Aerospace; plus auto parts, retailers, homebuilders and telecom. Microsoft had a good day on a mixed day for megacaps. Best performers included energy, banks, tobacco and railroads.